Description

Join us as Dr. Phil Klotzbach, Senior Research Scientist from Colorado State University, gives us his Outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season and trends in hurricane activity. This presentation will discuss Colorado State University's current outlook for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season. The season is anticipated to be a very active season, given an extremely warm Atlantic that fuels more and stronger hurricanes. An anticipated transition to La Nina conditions in the tropical Pacific likely will reduce vertical wind shear in the Atlantic as well, creating more hurricane-conducive vertical wind shear conditions. This session will also examine longer-term trends in tropical cyclone activity, both in the Atlantic as well as globally. While hurricane activity has increased in the Atlantic over the past ~30 years, it has decreased globally, like due to a long-term trend towards La Nina. High-end rapid intensification (e.g., >=60 mph/24 hr) has increased substantially over the past ~30 years, likely due to warming sea surface , temperatures. Future hurricanes will likely cause more damage, due to population growth along the coastline, as well as sea level rise, increased hurricane-generated precipitation and potentially stronger hurricanes.